Introduction for and Reactions to Plan A
Zvi (Don't Worry About the Vase) 5 days ago
Researchers who previously published AI 2027 predictions released Plan A, a proposal for international coordination to manage superintelligent AI development through compute monitoring and slowdown measures. Daniel Kokotajlo and Ryan Greenblatt, who ranked among the top AI forecasters, advocate for agreements with China and mutual compute verification to achieve positive outcomes by 2040. The plan faces criticism from those who dispute superintelligence timelines and those opposing compute restrictions, though supporters view it as the most detailed scenario addressing AI governance challenges.
