🔮 Exponential View #591: Never skilling; tricking OpenClaw; screwworm & progress; synth cells, tungsten & AI superforecasters++

Exponential View · 1 week ago

Heavy AI adopters in the US grew employment by 10% over two years after adoption, with entry-level positions increasing 12%, contradicting simple narratives that AI eliminates jobs. US chip export controls prompted China-linked developers to fork open-source LLM repositories 11 times more frequently than US developers between 2022 and 2025, treating open-source as resilience infrastructure. The evidence suggests firms are learning that workflow redesign around AI requires human oversight rather than workforce elimination, while geopolitical constraints are driving Chinese AI development toward self-reliance through domestically-sourced research, which grew from 1% of underlying patents in 2000 to 26% in 2025.