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Exponential View Azeem Azhar

Nvidia's Grace-Blackwell GPU deployment remains slow with over 95% of units not yet deployed since December 2024. An AI model with 35 billion parameters now matches trillion-parameter models on long-horizon benchmarks using a different training approach. These advances suggest smaller, more efficient models may compete with larger systems across different tasks.

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The coming supply shock; extreme heat; baby bust & growth boom++

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