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AI in 2026: A Tale of Two AIs

Sequoia by David Cahn

The investment world is reassessing how AI demand, supply constraints, and adoption will play out in 2026. The article’s key forecast is a shift from startups forming a “$0 to $100M” club in 2025 to a “$0 to $1B” club in 2026. Adoption keeps rising, while data center buildouts and expectations for an AGI timeline are expected to face delays.

Why it matters

2026 will be the “Year of Delays” for data centers and AGI; it will also see accelerating AI adoption by end-users.

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