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A guide to understanding AI as normal technology

AI Snake Oil Arvind Narayanan

Two AI researchers published a guide clarifying their framework that AI should be understood as normal technology rather than an exceptional force, arguing that societal impacts depend on deployment choices rather than the speed of capability development. They state their core thesis predicts slow timelines not from capability limitations but from gradual adoption, and note that OpenAI's GPT-5 actually exemplifies companies shifting from racing toward AGI to building practical products for customers. Their framework treats AI comparably to powerful general-purpose technologies like electricity, expecting profound impacts on labor and society through emerging effects that are difficult to predict and require adaptive policymaking rather than preventive approaches.

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