Will AI soon lead to double-digit growth?

Ghosts of Electricity · 1 month ago · 24 ● 3 sources

The article argues that economists’ and AI insiders’ predictions of double-digit GDP growth from AI capabilities are unlikely to hold in the next 10–15 years because key assumptions needed for explosive growth may not occur. It cites Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei saying AI could raise growth to about 10–15 percent per year. The piece concludes that a more realistic baseline is 4–5% growth and that double-digit annual growth would require exceptional, model-dependent conditions.