The Three AI Pills
Zvi (Don't Worry About the Vase) 2 months ago 26
The author describes a framework of three "pills" for understanding AI beliefs: the AI pill (current AI capabilities are real and useful), the AGI pill (AI will become much more capable), and the ASI pill (AI will surpass humans at nearly all tasks). Most people haven't taken the first pill and dismiss AI's current abilities, while reasonable debate requires at least the AGI pill. Those who reject the ASI pill often commit "intelligence denialism" by underestimating how far advanced intelligence can advance capabilities and impact the world.