Where I stand on RSI

Interconnects · 3 weeks ago · 28 ● 125 sources

The author argues that frontier AI labs’ use of thousands of concurrent agents is amplifying employees’ anxieties about AI risks and pace, leading much of the AI safety community to overestimate how quickly extreme outcomes like extinction or superintelligence could occur. They say superintelligence will not arrive within the next 8 years, even though progress may feel as fast as short-timeline forecasts suggest. The result is a shift toward “lossy self-improvement” as the baseline RSI model, emphasizing efficiency gains and inference-time scaling over automated research that would massively accelerate peak intelligence.