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Causal Inference

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Thursday, 16 July 2026

Does Topic Sentiment Cause Perceived Ideology? Comparing Human and LLM Annotations in Political News Articles

arXiv cs.CL 18 hours ago

Researchers compared how topic sentiment affects perceived political ideology in news articles, analyzing labels from human experts and large language models including GPT-4o-mini and Llama-3.3-70B using causal inference methods. Zero-shot LLMs inflated effect sizes compared to human annotations by an unspecified margin, though fine-tuning reduced this gap toward human-scale estimates. The findings suggest LLM annotations can identify whether sentiment affects ideology perception but may misestimate the magnitude of effects, affecting predictions of ideology from topics.