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AGI

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Saturday, 15 August 2026

On Dwarkesh Patel’s Podcast With Ryan Greenblatt

Zvi (Don't Worry About the Vase) 2 months ago 50

A recap of Dwarkesh Patel’s podcast with Ryan Greenblatt lays out their debate over whether AI research can support recursive self-improvement. Ryan expects full automation of AI R&D around 2030–2031. The episode’s main takeaway is that it narrows to disagreements about what can be verified in AI R&D and what bottlenecks progress—human expert data versus compute, environments, and feedback loops.

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