Import AI 459: AI oversight is difficult; scaling laws for protein folding models; and pricing the extinction risk of AI systems

Import AI · 1 month ago

Economists estimate the US AI economy grew at 2,600 percent per year in quality-adjusted terms in 2025, but this growth remains largely invisible in conventional GDP statistics because falling per-unit prices mask the underlying expansion. US AI compute spending rose from $37 billion in 2023 to $219 billion in 2025, while quality-adjusted output grew at roughly 2,290 percent in 2024. Policymakers relying on traditional economic data may be unprepared for labor-market disruptions and may need to implement tax reforms or sovereign wealth funds to manage potential wage-base shocks.